The defense industry lost the ability to make weapons when crisis hit. The same pattern is eroding software engineering skills. The timelines are identical.
Waaaay back in the early days of Imperial Japan when they ported over much of their stuff from Tang Dynasty China, one of the imports was the quite sophisticated Chinese siege artillery and engineering know-how.
That was lost wholesale in one generation after an Emperor decided maintaining the infrastructure of specialist artisans and engineers was a superfluous expense and those folks duly found other livelihoods.
Fast-foward about a thousand years and you had the newly established Tokugawa Shogunate p much renting cannon and gunners from passing European traders to help reduce particularly stubborn rebel strongholds...
Lost in one generation. That's the part people underestimate. Not decades. One generation of 'this is a superfluous expense, and the capability is gone.
I've found at work that if I force myself to write every line of code that the ai suggested, it stops most of the slop that gets through. Does it stop it all? No, but as I type it out manually, I have the time to think "what does this do" and "this feels wrong, let's try something else"
I've found at work that if I force myself to write every line of code that the ai suggested, it stops most of the slop that gets through. Does it stop it all? No, but as I type it out manually, I have the time to think "what does this do" and "this feels wrong, let's try something else"
That's the manual equivalent of what we're doing with PR templates. Forcing the pause between "AI suggested this" and "I shipped this." The problem is most teams are optimizing in the opposite direction.
Waaaay back in the early days of Imperial Japan when they ported over much of their stuff from Tang Dynasty China, one of the imports was the quite sophisticated Chinese siege artillery and engineering know-how.
That was lost wholesale in one generation after an Emperor decided maintaining the infrastructure of specialist artisans and engineers was a superfluous expense and those folks duly found other livelihoods.
Fast-foward about a thousand years and you had the newly established Tokugawa Shogunate p much renting cannon and gunners from passing European traders to help reduce particularly stubborn rebel strongholds...
Lost in one generation. That's the part people underestimate. Not decades. One generation of 'this is a superfluous expense, and the capability is gone.
I've found at work that if I force myself to write every line of code that the ai suggested, it stops most of the slop that gets through. Does it stop it all? No, but as I type it out manually, I have the time to think "what does this do" and "this feels wrong, let's try something else"
I've found at work that if I force myself to write every line of code that the ai suggested, it stops most of the slop that gets through. Does it stop it all? No, but as I type it out manually, I have the time to think "what does this do" and "this feels wrong, let's try something else"
That's the manual equivalent of what we're doing with PR templates. Forcing the pause between "AI suggested this" and "I shipped this." The problem is most teams are optimizing in the opposite direction.